What we’re actually doing
Pro teams draft off what they can already see in pro play. By the time a champ is “meta” on stage, every team has it scouted and the edge is gone. GetPrio looks one step earlier, at what the best soloq players in the world are doing right now — Master+ solo queue across Korea, Europe, and North America — and flags the champs that are about to break into pro before they actually do.
The thesis is pretty specific, and it isn’t “just play high win-rate champs.” Soloq win rate on its own barely tells you whether a pick works in pro. What we trust is three things lining up at once:
- Pick-rate velocity. A champ getting picked more and more, fast, inside a single patch. We care how quickly it’s climbing, not how high it already sits.
- A real win-rate edge. An edge over the field that survives a sanity check, so a 58% on 70 games doesn’t jump ahead of a 53% on 1,200.
- Pros labbing it. Rostered pros quietly grinding the pick on their soloq accounts, in the role they actually play. When the people who draft for a living start practicing something, that tells you plenty.
When those line up, a pick is emerging. That’s what the Radar pulls out.
How to read the Radar
Every card is one champion in one role, ranked by an emergence score. The score comes from a fitted model trained on the signals above — plus a bump when the pick fits the archetype that’s currently winning its role (we checked that the fit actually helps). The model retrains as patches finish and only replaces the previous one when it predicts better on patches it has never seen.
- New means the pick wasn’t already a standard meta pick last patch. It cuts the champs everyone already plans around and leaves the genuinely new stuff. That’s where the value is.
- Rising means pick rate is trending up this patch.
- · meta (the filled brass tag) means the pick sits in its role’s dominant archetype.
- The score is a priority ranking, not a win probability. Open the Briefing and read the actual evidence: the pick-rate curve, which pros are on it, the win rate and how many games it’s off, lane matchups, the build trend. Don’t just read the number.
The green/red dot says whether the champ has already shown up in pro this year. A red dot (“not yet on stage”) on a high-scoring new pick is exactly the pre-pro window we’re hunting for.
Straight talk on the numbers
This is a young system and we’re not going to pretend otherwise. The score is driven by a learned model that had to beat the hand-tuned version on patches it had never seen before we let it drive — and if it ever stops earning that, the hand-tuned score is still there as the fallback. We only fold a new signal into the score after it clears a real test on patches it hasn’t seen (the Track record page shows how the early calls have actually done). Some ideas don’t make the cut. The item-build layer, for instance, ships as context you can read but not as part of the score, because it didn’t actually predict pro picks. We’d rather just say that than dress it up.
GetPrio is an independent project tracking the high-elo soloq meta before it reaches the pro stage.